Week Ahead 30/09 - 03/10

Markets enter the week with a heavy slate of economic releases and central bank appearances that will guide sentiment across currencies, equities, and fixed income. Investors will be watching closely as fresh data on growth, inflation, and labor markets provide the final signals heading into the last quarter of the year.

With major speeches from central bank leaders alongside key reports from the U.S., eurozone, Japan, and China, this week’s calendar is set to shape policy expectations and market direction.

Tuesday, September 30

• 04:30 | CNY: NBS Manufacturing PMI (Sep) — Exp: 49.6 | Prev: 49.4

• 04:30 | CNY: NBS Non-Manufacturing PMI (Sep) — Exp: 50.3 | Prev: 50.3

• 04:45 | CNY: RatingDog Manufacturing PMI (Sep) — Exp: 50.3 | Prev: 50.5

• 04:45 | CNY: RatingDog Services PMI (Sep) — Exp: – | Prev: 53

• 07:30 | AUD: RBA Interest Rate Decision — Exp: 3.6% | Prev: 3.6%

• 07:30 | AUD: RBA Monetary Policy Statement — Report

• 07:30 | AUD: RBA Rate Statement — Report

• 08:30 | AUD: RBA Press Conference — Speech

• 09:00 | EUR: Retail Sales (YoY, Aug) — Exp: – | Prev: 1.9%

• 09:00 | GBP: GDP (QoQ, Q2) — Exp: 0.3% | Prev: 0.3%

• 09:00 | GBP: GDP (YoY, Q2) — Exp: 1.2% | Prev: 1.2%

• 15:00 | EUR: CPI (MoM, Sep Prel) — Exp: 0.1% | Prev: 0.1%

• 15:00 | EUR: CPI (YoY, Sep Prel) — Exp: – | Prev: 2.2%

• 15:00 | EUR: HICP (YoY, Sep Prel) — Exp: 2.2% | Prev: 2.1%

• 15:50 | EUR: ECB President Lagarde speech — Locked

Wednesday, October 1

• 02:50 | JPY: Tankan Large Manufacturing Index (Q3) — Exp: 15 | Prev: 13

• 12:00 | EUR: Core HICP (MoM, Sep Prel) — Exp: – | Prev: 0.3%

• 12:00 | EUR: Core HICP (YoY, Sep Prel) — Exp: 2.3% | Prev: 2.3%

• 12:00 | EUR: HICP (MoM, Sep Prel) — Exp: – | Prev: 0.1%

• 12:00 | EUR: HICP (YoY, Sep Prel) — Exp: 2.3% | Prev: 2.0%

• 15:15 | USD: ADP Employment Change (Sep) — Exp: 30K | Prev: 54K

• 17:00 | USD: ISM Manufacturing PMI (Sep) — Exp: 49.2 | Prev: 48.7

Thursday, October 2

• 04:30 | AUD: Trade Balance (MoM, Aug) — Exp: – | Prev: 7,310M

• 09:30 | CHF: CPI (YoY, Sep) — Exp: 0.3% | Prev: 0.2%

Friday, October 3

• 04:05 | JPY: BoJ Governor Ueda speech — Speech

• 12:40 | EUR: ECB President Lagarde speech — Locked

• 15:30 | USD: Average Hourly Earnings (MoM, Sep) — Exp: 0.3% | Prev: 0.3%

• 15:30 | USD: Average Hourly Earnings (YoY, Sep) — Exp: – | Prev: 3.7%

• 15:30 | USD: Nonfarm Payrolls (Sep) — Exp: 39K | Prev: 22K

• 16:20 | GBP: BoE Governor Bailey speech — Locked

• 17:00 | USD: ISM Services PMI (Sep) — Exp: 52 | Prev: 52